To give you an idea of how we get that number of connected devices, the first thing you should know is that smartphones, tablets are just part of the count, there are other devices that are also connected. Almost Everything – for instance A dutch company called Sparked is using wireless sensors on Cattles to track their activities and health.  So when a cattle is sick or pregnant, it automatically notifies the farmer. Such devices consume 200mb of data per year.

The connected devices int he future would interact with each other and help humans do the daily stuff with nearly no hiccups. With advent of IPv6 we could accommodate 100 IPs for each atom of the face of the earth.

Go ahead and checkout the info-graphic by cisco below:

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With everything from smartphones to Internet-linked appliances and cars getting online, the group entrusted with organizing the Web is running out of the “IP” numbers that identify destinations for digital traffic. IPv4 could accomodate only billions of addresses, but IPv6 would do multi Trillions, enough for assigning IP addresses to each grain in Sahara desert.

As of January 23, IPv4 address depletion would happen in 9 days, i.e. February 1st 2011. 40 million IPv4 addresses will deplete in these 9 days.

The pool in the sky is a fast-draining reservoir of IP addresses maintained by the non-profit Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN).ICANN has been calling for a change to IPv6 for years but websites and Internet service providers have been clinging to the old standard since the birth of the Internet.”One of the reasons it has taken so long to change is that there is no obvious advantage or killer application for IPv6.

The number of addresses that IPv6 allows for amounts to 340 “undecillion” (followed by 36 zeroes); enough for a trillion people to each be assigned trillions of IP numbers, according to ICANN.

A full shift to IPv6 will take years, with the remaining stock of old IP addresses being allocated to support the transition.

All major websites have their IPv6 alternates, Google first started this, and hopes to make it primary mode of communication, over the coming years.

Here’s a Video Song dedicated to Depletion of IPv4, old song but explains the current scenario in detail:

IPv4 Address Depletion countdown

• IPv6 Challenges Ahead – Security, Migration. Still Not a Next-Generation.
• IPv4 Usage Report

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With the current pace of depletion of IPv4, we would run out of address space within a year. The latest usage report is out which gives us exact usage numbers: 80.5% address space is used, up from 75.3% of last year (2009 begining).

As of Jan 1st, 2010, the number of unused IPv4 addresses is 722.18 million. On January 1, 2009, this was 925.58 million. So in 2009, 203.4 million addresses were used up. This is the first time since the introduction of CIDR in 1993 that the number of addresses used in a year has topped 200 million. With 3706.65 million usable addresses, 80.5% of the available IPv4 addresses are now in some kind of use, up from 75.3% a year ago. So the depletion of the IPv4 address reserves is continuing in much the same way as in previous years:

Date         Addresses free   Used up
2006-01-01      1468.61 M
2007-01-01      1300.65 M    167.96 M
2008-01-01      1122.85 M    177.80 M
2009-01-01       925.58 M    197.27 M
2010-01-01       722.18 M    203.40 M

These figures are derived from from the Internet Assigned Numbers Authority’s IANA IPv4 Address Space Registry page. Interestingly, the 2985 million addresses currently in use aren’t very evenly distributed over the countries in the world.

However, more interestingly,  the US now holds 50.1% of the IPv4 address space in use, down from 52.4% last year. This means where US has seen some saturation in IPv4 usage, other countries have been still using more.

With the growing pace, we are not far from when they exhaust. By some date in 2012, IPv4 run out of space. But, this won’t happen. IPv6 adoption has been mandated in certain areas like for ISPs starting from this year, 2010. With the Adoption of IPv6, we’ll get improved security, easier manageability, and a wider space to exploit.

For the transitions, IPv4-in-IPv6 tunnels are being used extensively. These tunnels will stay around for next couple of years till IPv4 and IPv6 co-exist. Perhaps this would be forever if not for a decade.

[via BGPexpert]

IPv6 took more than two decades to upgrade from an existing internet standard that drove traffic of Trillions of Terabytes of Data every year. After, IPv4, IPv5 was a literal Realtime protocol which was not practical to implement, hence was a failure, never came out of paper. We had high hopes for a Internet standard that emerges after a complete decade of development life cycle.

It never came upto the Expectations

IPv6 the so called “next-generation” Internet protocol isn’t keeping too many U.S. CIOs and network managers up worrying at night. But the story is two folded with an Irony.

IPv6 Irony

IPv6 was primarily designed to encounter two problems taking the third point into consideration:

1. Meet growing IP address requirements.

2. Provide Inherent Proven Security to make IP communications more secure.

3. Easy Migration / Adoption while doing 1 and 2.

No doubt, IPv6 addressed the first issue very well by upgrading address space from 32bits to 128bits. Enough addresses to assign unique IP to every sand grain in the Thar Desert, fair enough for the next few decades. But what About Security?

Network security is integrated into the design of the IPv6 architecture. Internet Protocol Security (IPsec) was originally developed for IPv6, but found widespread optional deployment first in IPv4. The IPv6 specifications mandate IPsec implementation as a fundamental interoperability requirement.

But despite this promise, IPv6 isn’t as secure as it was intended or pretneded to be. There are lots of Holes that are still left un-plugged at this moment when Industry is already mandate on migrating to it.

Experts say that most U.S. organizations have hidden IPv6 traffic running across their networks, and that few network managers are equipped to see, manage or block it. Increasingly, this rogue IPv6 traffic includes attacks such as botnet command and controls.

Hackers are taking advantage of this uncertain time, as IPv6 begins to find its way into networks but is not yet fully deployed.

Ironically, one of the benefits of IPv6 was supposed to be greater built-in security. But in this interim period before widespread IPv6 deployment, any network that hasn’t fully and completely made the shift to IPv6 may still be transporting IPv6 traffic via a tunnel in IPv4 traffic. That would be fine in a world where we’re all on the same team and just want a way for our networks to all get along. But in reality, malware creators see those tunnels as a way in or out of your network.

The Solution?

The Answer is either to block IPv6 traffic altogether or to upgrade your firewalls so that they can see inside those tunnels.

3rd point (Adoption/Migration) brought another pathetic Irony. It’s not as easy as it sounds to migrate and inter-operate IPv4 with IPv6 while adhering to reliable security.

Adoption Challenges

IPv6 has had enough challenges with adoption already. Even though the need has very clear for years, the issue just hasn’t felt very urgent. The biggest reason for upgrading is that we’re getting closer and closer to running out of IPv4 addresses, but it seems like we will actually have to go to zero before people will act.

Coincidentally,  we are entering an “awkward” phase for networks, the transitional period between the old and new protocols. They will have to coexist for years, he points out, and service providers will be challenged to find ways to reduce the impact of any changes on the end users.

The security holes that the transition leaves open, but obviously they’re there, and the bad guys are already using those channels for their own ends. It’s pretty clear that the sooner we can make the transition, the better off we’ll all be, but there’s no sign that it will be a quick or a smooth transition.

“If you aren’t monitoring your network for IPv6 traffic, the IPv6 pathway can be used as an avenue of attack,” says Tim LeMaster, director of systems engineering for Juniper’s federal group. “What network managers don’t understand is that they can have a user running IPv6 on a host and someone could be sending malicious traffic to that host without them knowing it.”

“At least half of U.S. CIOs have IPv6 on their networks that they don’t know about, but the hackers do,” says Yanick Pouffary, technology director for the North American IPv6 Task Force and an HP Distinguished Technologist. “You can’t ignore IPv6. You need to take the minimum steps to secure your perimeter. You need firewalls that understand IPv4 and IPv6. You need network management tools that understand IPv4 and IPv6. Although they’re not thinking about IPv6, for most of the Fortune 500, it’s in their networks anyways,” agrees Dave West, director of systems engineering for Cisco’s public sector group. “You may not see IPv6 today as a business driver. But like it or not, you are running IPv6 in your network.”

Though available for a decade, IPv6 has been slow to catch on in the United States and rest of the world. Now that unallocated IPv4 addresses are expected to run out in 2011, the pressure is on U.S. carriers and corporations to deploy IPv6 in the next few years.

IPv6-based threats are not well understood, but they are becoming more prominent. For example, the issue of IPv6-based attacks was raised at a June meeting of the National Security Telecommunications Advisory Committee, a high-level industry group that advises the White House about cybersecurity.

“We are seeing quite a bit of command and control traffic that is IPv6,” says Jason Schiller, senior Internet network engineer, global IP network engineering for the public IP network at Verizon Business. “Hackers are trying to leverage IPv6 to fly under the radar. We’re seeing a lot of bot networks where the command and control is under IPv6. We’re also seeing illegal file sharing that leverages IPv6 for peer-to-peer communications.”

Rogue IPv6 traffic is an emerging threat for network managers. The biggest risk is for organizations that have decided to delay IPv6 deployment because they don’t see a business driver for the upgrade – a category that includes most U.S. corporations.

U.S. federal agencies are in a better position to protect themselves against IPv6-based threats because they have enabled IPv6 across their backbone networks. Federal agencies are moving ahead with plans to integrate IPv6 into their enterprise architectures and capital investments.

Rogue IPv6 traffic “is a very real threat,” says Sheila Frankel, a computer scientist in the Computer Security Division of the National Institutes of Standards and Technology (NIST).

“People can have IPv6 running on their networks and not know it. Computers and other devices can ship with IPv6 turned on. Ideally, if you’re not prepared to protect against IPv6, it should be turned off for all the devices on your network. You need to be prepared to block it at your perimeter. You want to block it coming in and going out,” Frankel says. ”You should be blocking not only pure IPv6 traffic but also IPv6 traffic tunneled inside of other traffic,” Frankel says. “Network operators have to be aware of the ways IPv6 would normally be tunneled in IPv4 traffic and in the different types of transition mechanisms, and they have to become aware of the rules necessary to block these various classes of traffic.”

Frankel recommends that organizations that don’t want to run IPv6 in production mode buy firewalls and intrusion-prevention systems that can block both native and tunneled IPv6 traffic.

Where does rogue IPv6 traffic come from?

IPv6 traffic gets on your network because many operating systems–including Microsoft Vista, Windows Server 2008, Mac OS X, Linux and Solaris — ship with IPv6 enabled by default. Network managers have to disable IPv6 on every device that they install on their networks or these devices are able to receive and send IPv6 traffic.

“We’re probably talking about 300 million systems that have IPv6 enabled by default,” estimates Joe Klein, director of IPv6 Security at Command Information, an IPv6 consultancy. “We see this as a big risk.”

Experts say it’s likely that network managers will forget to change the IPv6 default settings on some desktop, server or mobile devices on their networks. At the same time, most organizations have IPv4-based firewalls and network management tools that don’t automatically block IPv6 traffic coming into their networks.

“The most common IPv6-based attacks that we’re seeing right now are when you have devices on the edge of your network that are dual stack, which means they’re running IPv4 and IPv6. If you only have an IPv4 firewall, you can have IPv6 running between you and the attacker,” Klein says. “The attacker is going through your firewall via IPv6, which at that point is wide open.”

Another common problem is IPv6 traffic tunneled over IPv4 using such techniques as Teredo, which is supported by Microsoft, or the alternative 6to4 and Intra-Site Automatic Tunnel Addressing Protocol (ISATAP) approaches.

“The typical IPv4 security devices are not tuned to look for IPv6 tunnels,” Klein says. “They offer very weak defense, which is kind of scary.”

Klein says the only way network managers can discover IPv6 devices on their network is to run IPv6. Even then, it’s extremely difficult to discover IPv6 tunnels.

“You might be able to find the top three tunnels but not all the other sub-tunnels,” Klein says. “You can tunnel IPv6 over HTTP over IPv4. How are you going to find that?”

To battle these threats, Command Information is offering software called Assure6, which operates in conjunction with deep packet inspection systems to identify IPv6 traffic tunneled over IPv4. Similarly, the McAfee Network Security Platform offers full IPv6 and tunnel inspection. Cisco and Juniper offer IPv6-enabled routers, firewalls and other systems that allow network managers to set IPv6-related security policies.

Klein says he gets one or two calls a month from organizations that have been attacked through rogue IPv6 traffic.

“One of our honeypots that we have set up saw a botnet using an IPv6-only attack,” Klein says. “It was hiding itself as IPv4 through our router, and it was attacking and issuing command and controls to a botnet in the Far East.”

The number of IPv6 attacks is small but growing, LeMaster says.

“There are fewer people that have IPv6 enabled, so it’s not as rich a target as IPv4,” LeMaster adds. “The majority of the vulnerabilities are over HTTP. They’re application related, where IPv6 is just the transport for those security concerns.”

Frankel says IPv6-based threats are common enough that every network manager needs a plan for mitigating them.

“Nobody today will deny that they have to do something about viruses or about spam,” Frankel adds. “It’s fair to say that rogue IPv6 traffic is in this category of threats that’s going to hit you if you ignore it.”

To block or not to block IPv6
Experts disagree about whether it’s best for network managers to block IPv6 traffic or to enable IPv6 traffic for monitoring purposes.

Most say that if an organization isn’t prepared to support IPv6, it should block IPv6 traffic coming into and leaving its network using IPv6-enabled routers, firewalls, intrusion-prevention systems and intrusion-detection systems.

Network managers “should be creating policies…that look for IPv6 traffic and if they see it to drop that packet,” LeMaster says. “Within their security incident manager solution they need to look at the profiles of traffic coming into their network. They need that visibility. If they see IPv6 traffic, they need to find out what host it’s coming from or going to, and turn that traffic off.”

But these experts admit that blocking IPv6 traffic is a temporary solution because a growing number of your customers and business partners will be supporting IPv6.

“If you’re not prepared for IPv6, then the prudent thing to do is not to allow it into your network,” LeMaster says. “But you shouldn’t be blocking all IPv6 traffic for the next five years. You should only block it until you have a policy and understand the threats.”

Long term, the better solution is to start running IPv6 so you can gain visibility into your IPv6 traffic and experience with the new protocol, experts say.

“We don’t recommend that you block IPv6 traffic. We are recommending that you do an audit and find out how many IPv6 devices and applications are on your network. If you have IPv6 traffic on your network, then you’ve got to plan, train and implement IPv6,” says Lisa Donnan, vice president of advanced technology solutions at Command Information.

Cisco recommends that its customers adopt the same security policies for IPv4 and IPv6, and that these policies be implemented using a layered approach.

“Configuration management, configuration control and policy are going to be pretty critical now as all of these IPv6 devices just show up on the network,” West says. “Configuration management may be the largest threat we have around IPv6.”

Frankel says now is the time for corporations to start training staff in IPv6 and getting experience with IPv6 so they can protect themselves against IPv6-based attacks.

“Companies need to acquire a minimal level of expertise in IPv6, which will help protect them against threats,” Frankel says. “The other thing they should do is to take their outward-facing servers, those that are external to the corporation’s firewalls, and enable IPv6 on them. That way customers from Asia with IPv6 addresses will be able to reach these servers and their own people will acquire expertise in IPv6. This will be a first step in the process.”

IPv6 is “coming”, The best way is to face it head on and to decide you’re going to do it in the most secure manner possible. Question still left unanswered is, “Will IPv6 Ever be fully adopted ?” Or do we need IPv7 to address the issues?

Here is  a related video I found on InformIt.com discussing challenges on iPv6 security:

by Cisco Engineer, Eric Vyncke:

Download the video file – 66.1 MB (source: informIt.com)

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